Spanish GP Formula 1 Round 5: Raikkonen/McLaren dominant, Schumacher/Ferrari retire, Alonso /Renault closer to title
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Michael Schumacher’s failure to score points in the event has seen the worm of public opinion turn and the odds at the bookmakers are now against him winning the 2005 championship. Before the event Alonso was odds-on favourite to take the title (1.6), with Schumacher at the very short odds of 2.5 and third favourite Kimi Raikkonen at 16.0.
Immediately after the event, Alonso’s odds for the title had shortened to 1.4, Raikkonen was second favourite at 4.5 and Schumacher’s odds had drifted to 5.5. beyond those three, Toyota’s Jarno Trulli and Alonso’s team-mate Giancarlo Fisichella shared the next line of betting at 34.0 ahead of Montoya (41.0), Barrichello (67), Ralf Schumacher (81.0) and Mark Webber (101). Despite having potential race-winning machinery, Button, Sato and Heidfeld are all at odds greater than 200.
Similarly, Renault’s chance of winning the Constructor’s title has firmed from 1.6 prior to the race to 1.44 afterwards, as the French machines now have 58 points, 18 clear of Toyota, 21 clear of McLaren and a massive 40 points clear of defending titleholders Ferrari.
Toiyota are still not seen as a credible force on the constructors’ front, with the company’s odds at 15.0 while McLaren firmed on the showing from 9.0 before to 3.5 after the race.
Ferrari’s odds for the constructors’ title were 2.6 before the race. After the race, 7.0 odds were available.
Our take is that Ferrari will be back. The company may not win the title, but it will score several wins and feature on the podium many times before the 19 race series is over. We think the odds on offer for the Maranello concern are very generous!
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